Mariano Rivera is closing in on a 1 or 2 year deal with the Yankees, but we all know that the contract that he's about to sign will probably be his last contract. It's certainly not too early now to think about the next Yankee closer. In this post I will talk about the major league options, and the minor league options for down the line.
After Joba Chamberlain was transitioned back to the bullpen entering this past season, you would have thought that he was being groomed to be the next Yankee closer. But, then he had a disappointing '10, posting a 4.40 ERA. Let's examine his stats. He went 3-4 with the aforementioned 4.40 ERA in 73 relief appearances and 71.2 IP. He struck out 77 and walked 22. He allowed 6 home runs. Based on those stats, excluding ERA, Joba should have had a good year. He posted a great 9.7 K/9 ratio and a good 2.8 BB/9, which comes out to a really good 3.50 K/BB ratio. His 6 homers allowed in 71.2 IP came out to a 0.8 HR/9 ratio, which is certainly acceptable, and he had 3 saves. But, you probably noticed what stat I omitted: hits allowed. He allowed 71 hits- basically a hit per inning. That's not ridiculously bad in general, but it certainly is bad for a reliever.To put that into perspective, Rivera allowed just a 5.9 H/9. Even Joba himself posted a 7.2 H/9 from '07 to '08, and if he gets back to that, he'll be a great reliever. Bottom line, Joba needs to get more swings and misses. He has a great fastball and he should be a strikeout pitcher, not a pitch-to-contact pitcher. So, to summarize, could Joba potentially put it all together? Yes, and if so, he would be a very good closer. But, right now, it's unclear whether that will happen.
If not Joba, the other pitcher currently in the Yankee bullpen that has a chance to be the next closer is David Robertson. The expectations were very high for Robertson in '10 after he posted a 3.30 ERA and a ridiculous 13.0 K/9 in '09. During the first half of '10, Robertson certainly disappointed many people. He posted a 5.46 ERA in 31 relief appearances. Why was his ERA so high? Partially because of too many hits allowed, just like Joba. He struck out 32 in 29.2 IP, but he allowed 36 hits, which amounts to a 11.1 H/9 that was much worse than Joba. But also Robertson had another problem: too many walks. He walked 17 batters, a ratio of around 5.2 batters per 9 innings. Despite his 9.7 K/9, Robertson walked so many guys that his K/BB ratio was just 1.88. But, in the second half, Robertson got himself together. He posted a great 2.27 ERA in 33 apperances. He walked 17 again, but struck out 39 for an improved 2.29 K/BB ratio. But, the biggest reason that Robertson turned around was that he allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings, definitely a huge improvement. If Robertson pitches as well as he did in the second half of '10 in 2011 and going forward, he'll certainly be a great closer candidate. He walks a few too many batters, but his incredible strikeout rate (11.3 K/9 for his career) certainly makes up for it as long as he gives up less than a hit per inning. Right now, I think that Robertson is more likely to be the next Yankee closer than Joba.
It seems like a strong possibility that the Yankees will re-sign Kerry Wood if no team offers him a closer job. Could he potentially be the next Yankee closer? Picture this potential contract: 3 years, let's say 27 million dollars, with a vesting option in 2014 if he records 30 saves in 2013. But, do the Yankeees think that Wood will stay healthy. Wood went 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA and 31 K's in 24 relief apperances and 26 IP for the Yankees in '10. He did walk 18, which amounts to a very bad 6.2 BB/9, but he allowed just 14 hits for a ridiuclous 4.8 H/9 ratio. He also gave up just 1 home run. I don't think that the Yankees should sign Wood more than 2 years, but because of the 0.69 ERA in '10 for the Yankees, I had to bring him up.
Minor leaguers:
There's been talk that Andrew Brackman could be the next Yankee closer, but he has nixed that by succeeding as a starter in '10.
J.B. Cox, the former Texas Longhorns closer who at one point was projected to succeed Rivera, and gone through some problems on and off the field. He'll turn 26 in May, and he's at Double-A right now. He's not eliminated from the running, but I'd give him like a 1% chance of ever closing for the Yankees.
Ryan Pope functioned as Double-A Trenton's closer, going 4-6 with a 4.20 ERA, 17 saves, and 85 K's in 39 relief appearances along with 7 starts and 94.1 IP. He walked just 31, but his Achilles' heel was the home run- he gave up 10. He gave up 8.4 hits per 9 innings, but you just can't give up a homer every 9 innings (a 1.0 HR/9 ratio). The amount of homers he's given up doesn't bode well for him. Mariano Rivera gave up 10 home runs between August 12th, 2008 and September 19th, 2010. He'll turn 24 in May, so he has a little time to fix his homer problem. We'll see him in the big leagues within a couple of years, but probably never as a closer.
Always have to bring up Pat Venditte when I can. The switch-pitcher has 51 minor league saves including 6 at High-A Tampa in '10 along with a 1.73 ERA. Minor league hitters just can't seem to hit him, hence his 1.70 career ERA and 11.2 career K/9. He also has great control, as he has walked just 1.9 batters per 9 innings, and posted a ridiculous 6.06 K/BB ratio. He also doesn't allow any hits- just 6.5 per 9 innings, or hit anybody- just 2 hit batsmen in 3 minor league seasons. He's just been great. Will he be able to master major league hitters the same way? Well, first he has to master Double-A and Triple-A hitters. He's already 25 years old, so he better begin dominating them soon and get in the majors by 2012. When he does make the majors, I'll probably be one of 1.5 million bloggers doing posts on him. But, will he ever close for the Yankees? No chance. His upside is the best situational reliever ever, not a closer. He could potentially mow down major league hitters left and right (pun intended), but he just doesn't have the stuff to close games for the New York Yankees.
21 year old right-hander Chase Whitley worked as closer at Short Season-A (SS-A) Staten Island, posting a 1.45 ERA and 15 saves. He won't be the next Yankee closer, but he could potentially be the closer in 4 years (being part of the bullpen in 3 years) if both Joba and Robertson aren't good enough. He was drafted in 2010 and I did a short bio on him here: Analysis on all 50 Yankee draft picks
15. Chase Whitley, a 20 year old RHP from Troy was the Yankees' 15th round pick. He was Troy's closer. He had a decent fastball, 89-92 MPH, but he has 2 other pitches that are very good: a slider and a changeup. He averaged about a strikeout per inning in '10. He has a chance to be a pretty good reliever for the Yanks.
I'm not sure if he can function as a closer with a fastball that tops out at 92, but if his performance at Staten Island means anything, he has a chance.
Preston Claiborne debuted nicely at Staten Island in '10, going 1-2 with a 2.28 ERA, 2 saves, and 30 K's in 19 relief apperances and 23.2 IP. He walked 8 and allowed 20 hits. Possibly most impressive of all, he allowed no home runs. Claiborne also got a brief taste of High-A Tampa to finish the year, going 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA in 5 relief apperances. I wrote this about him in the above post:
7. In the 17th round, the Yankees drafted another RHP, Preston Claiborne from Tulane. He's been a reliever his whole college career. He showed good control at Tulane in '09 (29 K's, 12 walks), and pitched both as a long reliever and short reliever. With that Alrfredo Aceves-like versatility, we might see him in the Yankee bullpen at some point.
Whitley beat out Claiborne to be Staten Island's closer, but Claiborne definitely has some value. Maybe they'll both be in the bullpen in a few seasons. I doubt Claiborne will be the closer, though. Still, if Claiborne becomes Alfredo Aceves 2.0 (minor the injuries), the Yankees will definitely be happy.
Thomas Kahnle, another 2010 draftee, had a great pro debut for Staten Island, posting a 0.56 ERA in 11 relief apperances. He struck out 25 and walked just 5 in 16 innings. Those are all ridiculous stats. He was unhittable. And you thought that he was unhittable based on the stats above. No. He allowed 3 hits. 3 hits! That's a ratio of 1.7 hits per 9 innings. Wow.This guy might be something special. I wrote this about him in that post above about the Yankees' 2010 drafted players:
5. In the 5th round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old RHP Thomas Kahnle from Lynn University in Divison 2. Kahnle is going to be a reliever for the Yanks. He has a lot of potential, as evidenced by his playoff performance as a freshman. He was awarded the Most Outstanding Player award for the NCAA National Tournament and the South Region Tournament. (I haven't had this confirmed, but I'm sure the NCAA National Tournament is Division 2. Note that the Division 1 tournament is the College World Series.) The Yankees can never have enough good relievers, and hopefully Kahnle will be one of them.
The sky is the limit for this kid. He turned 21 in August. We'll see him in the majors within a couple of years, and I would not be surprised if one day, he's the Yankee closer.
Realistically, Joba or Robertson will be the next Yankee closer. But, theycould just be keeping the seat warm for one of these other guys. Although it was a very small sample size, I think that Kahnle really is that good. I think he'll end up being the Yankee closer in 2014 or 2015.
Showing posts with label Alfredo Aceves. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alfredo Aceves. Show all posts
Wednesday, December 1, 2010
Wednesday, July 14, 2010
Do the Yankees need to trade for another bullpen arm?
The Yankee bullpen was a big strength for the team in 2009. No reliever who appeared in 40 or more game posted an ERA over 4.50. It has certainly been a different story in '10. Excluding Mariano Rivera, who has a miniscule 1.05 ERA, no Yankee reliever who has appeared in 13 or more games has posted an ERA under 4.08. Joba Chamberlain, David Robertson, and Chan Ho Park have posted 5.79, 5.48, and 6.18 ERA's respectively. What's going on with the Yankee bullpen? Let's go through the stats of each current member of the bullpen individually.
Rivera has gone 2-1 with a 1.05 ERA, 20 saves, and 33 K's in 34 relief appearances and 34.1 IP. He has given up just 16 hits on the year for a tiny 4.2 H/9 ratio. That's less than 1 hit every 2 innings! He has walked just 6 batters on the year, or 1.6 per 9 innings. He has struck out 8.7 batters per 9 inning. Also, Rivera has given up just 1 homer all year, the grand slam to Kubel. He has been amazing and nearly untouchable.
Joba has gone 1-4 with a 5.79 ERA, 18 holds, 2 saves, and 40 K's in 39 relief appearances and 37.1 IP. He has a great 9.6 K/9 and a decent 3.4 BB/9, but what's been bad for Joba has been the amount of hits he has given up. He has given up 42 hits, more than a hit per inning, for a 10.1 H/9 ratio. It's all about the amount of hits given up. He's has struck out more than enough batters, and walked few enough batters, but he's just given up too many hits. More problems with Joba include a .293 BA against him by righties compared to a .269 BA by lefties, and allowing batters to hit .348 against him with runners in scoring position. But, all hope is not lost for Joba. He has been incredibly unlucky. Batters are hitting a ridiculous .370 on balls in play against him. That's .70 over the MLB average! Batters are even hitting .333 against him on ground balls! Hopefully that will turn around soon and Joba will end the year with a repectable 4.00 ERA. But, can Joe Girardi wait for Joba's luck to change? Joba has a critical role in the bridge to Rivera as the setup man. Should the Yankees acquire another reliever to be setup man? I think yes. The Yankees should acquire a player such as Octavio Dotel that can step into the setup role so Joba can straighten himself out in situation with less pressure. Then, when Joba does straighten himself out, he can move back into the setup role, while that acquired reliever remains an important part of the bullpen assuming he does well. Joba hasn't been good so far, but he's had bad luck on balls in play and his luck will eventually turn around.
Robertson has gone 1-3 with a 5.46 ERA, 6 holds, and 32 K's in 31 relief appearances and 29.2 IP. He has posted a great 9.7 K/9, but a below-average 5.2 BB/9. Also, just like Joba, he has given up 36 hits for a bad 10.9 H/9. Robertson has just allowed too many base runners. He has allowed nearly 2 base runners per inning. He has also allowed a .316 BAA against righties and a .283 BAA against lefties. Robertson has been even more unlucky than Joba, allowing an improbable .398 BA on balls in play. He has allowed a crazy .343 BAA on ground balls, a .357 BAA on fly balls, and even a .500 BA on bunts But, despite the extra base runners, Robertson has a better ERA than Joba. He has allowed a better .303 BA with runners in scoring position. I think Robertson will also straighten things out by season's end. With better luck, he could have had a 3.50 ERA or better. An acquired reliever would allow Robertson to appear in some situations with less pressure. Just like Joba, Robertson has had terrible luck that has led to his bad performance, and his luck will eventually turn around.
Chan Ho Park has gone 1-1 with a 6.18 ERA, a terrible 0 holds, and 22 K's in 21 relief appearances and 27.2 IP. He struck out a decent 7.2 batters per 9 innings, and posted a great 2.3 BB/9 ratio. But, the continued theme is too many hits allowed per9 innings. Park has allowed a completely terrible 11.1 H/9 ratio. Park has been a bit unlucky, allowing a .326 BAA on balls in play, but the real reason he has a 6.18 ERA is because he has allowed 2.0 homers per 9 innings. That's more homers than Rivera, Chamberlain, and Robertson have allowed per 9 innings COMBINED. He has just been terrible. I don't think there's anything the Yankees can do with him. They should designate him for assigment.
Damaso Marte has gone 0-0 with a 4.08 ERA, 9 holds, and 12 K's in 30 relief appearances and 17.2 IP. He has struck out 6.1 batters per 9 innings, but walked a bad 5.6 per 9 innings. He has allowed only 5.1 hits per 9 innings, so he has been hard to hit. Unlike Joba, Robertson, and Park, he has been incredibly lucky. Batters have hit just .161 against him on balls in play. He has a 4.08 ERA because of his 5.6 BB/9 and because he has allowed exactly 1 homer per 9 innings. He has been pretty good.
With Alfredo Aceves and Sergio Mitre hurt, and Boone Logan and others sent down to the minors, the only other active Yankee reliever is Dustin Moseley. He has gone 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 games. I hope he can keep that kind of ERA going.
So, the Yankees do need another reliever. Joba and Robertson are still waiting for their luck to change, and Park is just a complete disaster. Another reliever could help every reliever in the bullpen be comfortable, and play well.
Rivera has gone 2-1 with a 1.05 ERA, 20 saves, and 33 K's in 34 relief appearances and 34.1 IP. He has given up just 16 hits on the year for a tiny 4.2 H/9 ratio. That's less than 1 hit every 2 innings! He has walked just 6 batters on the year, or 1.6 per 9 innings. He has struck out 8.7 batters per 9 inning. Also, Rivera has given up just 1 homer all year, the grand slam to Kubel. He has been amazing and nearly untouchable.
Joba has gone 1-4 with a 5.79 ERA, 18 holds, 2 saves, and 40 K's in 39 relief appearances and 37.1 IP. He has a great 9.6 K/9 and a decent 3.4 BB/9, but what's been bad for Joba has been the amount of hits he has given up. He has given up 42 hits, more than a hit per inning, for a 10.1 H/9 ratio. It's all about the amount of hits given up. He's has struck out more than enough batters, and walked few enough batters, but he's just given up too many hits. More problems with Joba include a .293 BA against him by righties compared to a .269 BA by lefties, and allowing batters to hit .348 against him with runners in scoring position. But, all hope is not lost for Joba. He has been incredibly unlucky. Batters are hitting a ridiculous .370 on balls in play against him. That's .70 over the MLB average! Batters are even hitting .333 against him on ground balls! Hopefully that will turn around soon and Joba will end the year with a repectable 4.00 ERA. But, can Joe Girardi wait for Joba's luck to change? Joba has a critical role in the bridge to Rivera as the setup man. Should the Yankees acquire another reliever to be setup man? I think yes. The Yankees should acquire a player such as Octavio Dotel that can step into the setup role so Joba can straighten himself out in situation with less pressure. Then, when Joba does straighten himself out, he can move back into the setup role, while that acquired reliever remains an important part of the bullpen assuming he does well. Joba hasn't been good so far, but he's had bad luck on balls in play and his luck will eventually turn around.
Robertson has gone 1-3 with a 5.46 ERA, 6 holds, and 32 K's in 31 relief appearances and 29.2 IP. He has posted a great 9.7 K/9, but a below-average 5.2 BB/9. Also, just like Joba, he has given up 36 hits for a bad 10.9 H/9. Robertson has just allowed too many base runners. He has allowed nearly 2 base runners per inning. He has also allowed a .316 BAA against righties and a .283 BAA against lefties. Robertson has been even more unlucky than Joba, allowing an improbable .398 BA on balls in play. He has allowed a crazy .343 BAA on ground balls, a .357 BAA on fly balls, and even a .500 BA on bunts But, despite the extra base runners, Robertson has a better ERA than Joba. He has allowed a better .303 BA with runners in scoring position. I think Robertson will also straighten things out by season's end. With better luck, he could have had a 3.50 ERA or better. An acquired reliever would allow Robertson to appear in some situations with less pressure. Just like Joba, Robertson has had terrible luck that has led to his bad performance, and his luck will eventually turn around.
Chan Ho Park has gone 1-1 with a 6.18 ERA, a terrible 0 holds, and 22 K's in 21 relief appearances and 27.2 IP. He struck out a decent 7.2 batters per 9 innings, and posted a great 2.3 BB/9 ratio. But, the continued theme is too many hits allowed per9 innings. Park has allowed a completely terrible 11.1 H/9 ratio. Park has been a bit unlucky, allowing a .326 BAA on balls in play, but the real reason he has a 6.18 ERA is because he has allowed 2.0 homers per 9 innings. That's more homers than Rivera, Chamberlain, and Robertson have allowed per 9 innings COMBINED. He has just been terrible. I don't think there's anything the Yankees can do with him. They should designate him for assigment.
Damaso Marte has gone 0-0 with a 4.08 ERA, 9 holds, and 12 K's in 30 relief appearances and 17.2 IP. He has struck out 6.1 batters per 9 innings, but walked a bad 5.6 per 9 innings. He has allowed only 5.1 hits per 9 innings, so he has been hard to hit. Unlike Joba, Robertson, and Park, he has been incredibly lucky. Batters have hit just .161 against him on balls in play. He has a 4.08 ERA because of his 5.6 BB/9 and because he has allowed exactly 1 homer per 9 innings. He has been pretty good.
With Alfredo Aceves and Sergio Mitre hurt, and Boone Logan and others sent down to the minors, the only other active Yankee reliever is Dustin Moseley. He has gone 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 games. I hope he can keep that kind of ERA going.
So, the Yankees do need another reliever. Joba and Robertson are still waiting for their luck to change, and Park is just a complete disaster. Another reliever could help every reliever in the bullpen be comfortable, and play well.
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Analysis on all 50 Yankee draft picks
In this post, I will review all 50 Yankees draft picks and explain where they fit in with the organization. WIth all my comments about their future with the Yankees, I'm assuming that they will sign. I know that at least a couple of these guys won't sign. (With a lot of the ages that I'm mentioning, they may almost be the next age. For example, Cito Culver will turn 18 in August.)
1. The Yanks' first round draft pick was 17 year old switch-hitting high school SS/RHP Cito Culver. He also pitched in high school. He is going to be the next Yankee SS after Jeter, assuming he does well in the minors. Remember, even if Jeter retires in 6 years, Culver will be just 23 years old. Full post on him here: http://www.fannation.com/blogs/post/666525-the-future-of-the-yankees-cito-culver.
2. In the second round, the Yankees drafted another 17 year old high school SS, Angelo Gumbs. He's going to be an outfielder in the Yankee farm system. He is a superb defender whose hitting is coming along nicely. He has a future as a 4th outfielder for the Yankees- think Melky Cabrera. Maybe he'll get a chance because of injury to start at some point.
3. With their 3rd pick in the draft, the Yankees drafted their 3rd infielder in a row, 21 year old 3B Robert Segedin from Tulane. Segedin is a Yankee-type draft pick- he wanted a pretty big signing bonus, so he fell to the 3rd round when the Yankees drafted him, because we all know the Yanks have the money. Segedin is a talented hitter with pretty good power. He is also pretty good defensively. He also dropped because of a back injury that he suffered in '08. He's already 22 years old, so he may not be the 3rd baseman of the future. But if he stays healthy, he'll at least have a shot.
4. With their 4th round pick, the Yankees selected 18 year old high school OF Mason Williams. He is a Brett-Gardner type player- he's great defensively and is very fast, but he has very little power. But, he has better arm strength than Gardner. With Gardner, Curtis Granderson, and potentially Carl Crawford on the team, it will be tough for him to be anything more than a bench player with the Yanks.
5. In the 5th round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old RHP Thomas Kahnle from Lynn University in Divison 2. Kahnle is going to be a reliever for the Yanks. He has a lot of potential, as evidenced by his playoff performance as a freshman. He was awarded the Most Outstanding Player award for the NCAA National Tournament and the South Region Tournament. (I haven't had this confirmed, but I'm sure the NCAA National Tournament is Division 2. Note that the Division 1 tournament is the College World Series.) The Yankees can never have enough good relievers, and hopefully Kahnle will be one of them.
6. In the 6th round, the Yankees got 18 year old high school RHP Gabe Encinas. He has a great sinker and is known for attacking the zone. But, his secondary pitches haven't developed very well yet. After AJ Burnett's contract expires after the 2013 season, Encinas could be in the battle for a rotation spot if those secondary pitches develop.
7. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Taylor Jake Anderson with their 7th round pick. He has a good arm and has a nice, fluid swing. I really can't find very much about him. With the Yankee outfield stacked, maybe he'll be a bench player with the team if he succeeds.
8. With their 8th round pick, the Yankees drafted 22 year old East Carolina 1st baseman Kyle Roller. He was East Carolina's captain and is a class act off the field. His stance and swing remind me of Mark Teixeira, but of course, Teix is signed until 2016. Maybe he can be a Juan Miranda-type part time DH and bench player.
9. In the 9th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP Taylor Morton. He has a great fastball, 95 MPH consistently. I have seen anything about his secondary pitches, so that must be his problem. With his great fastball, Morton projects as a reliever.
10. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Benjamin Gamel with their 10th round pick. Gamel's older brother Matt is a 3rd baseman in the Brewers farm system. Gamel ironically reminds me a little bit of Dustin Pedroia. He is a little guy (5'10), but he swings like he has big-time power. In the outfield, he has strong but inaccurate arm. I doubt Gamel has a future with the Yans kees with 3 other outfielders drafted in front of him, and a solid outfield set in place in the majors.
11. In the 11th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old University of Portland RHP Zachary Varce. He was a reliever in '10, so he'll be a reliever in the minors as well. He throws a 93 MPH fastball, a spilter, a changeup, and a slider. He has great confidence in his pitches. He could make an impact as a reliever for the Yanks.
12. With their 12th round pick, the Yankees drafted 21 year old St. Johns RHP Daniel Burawa. He throws a 95 MPH fastball, but his only other pitch is an average slider. He also struggles with control. He was suspended earlier this year, so he maybe has an attitude problem. Burawa is going to be a reliever in the Yankee organization. He better fix his control if he wants to be a reliever for the Yanks.
13. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school catcher Christopher Austin with their 13th round pick. He has a pretty fluid swing and appears to be a decent line drive hitter. There really is very little information about him. With Francisco Cervelli and Austin Romine already ahead of him in the race for the next Yankee catcher after Posada, I don't think Austin will make any impact as a catcher at the major league level for the Yankees.
14. In the 14th round, the Yankees drafted 19 year old high school RHP Travis Dean. Although he's 6'5, he throws only 90 MPH with his fastball. But, according to his would-be future coach (if the Yankees don't sign him), he has a "loose arm" and great upside. There are a lot of right-handed pitchers that the Yankees drafted, and Dean doesn' t seem to stand out. But, like everyone, he has a chance to make an impact in the majors as a reliever if he really lives up to that great upside.
15. Chase Whitley, a 20 year old RHP from Troy. He was Troy's closer. He had a decent fastball, 89-92 MPH, but he has 2 very good pitches: a slider and a changeup. He averaged about a strikeout per inning in '10. He has a chance to be a pretty good reliever for the Yanks.
16. With their 16th pick, the Yankees selected 18 year old high school LHP Evan Rutckyj from Canada. (I don't have any idea how to pronounce his last name.) He's a very raw talent who just started pitching full-time last year. His velocity on his fastball is currently 92 MPH, but it's already moved up from 84 MPH and it's still getting faster and faster. He also throws a good changeup. He possesses the David Robertson-like ability to strike batters out at a great rate without very good velocity. I'm not sure why he slid so far. He was projected as a 5th round pick as recently as the day before the draft began. Anyway, the Yanks got a steal of a pick and I expect that we'll see Rutckyj in the Yankee bullpen someday.
17. In the 17th round, the Yankees drafted another RHP, Preston Claiborne from Tulane. He's been a reliever his whole college career. He showed good control at Tulane in '09 (29 K's, 12 walks), and pitched both as a long reliever and short reliever. With that Alrfredo Aceves-like versatility, we might see him in the Yankee bullpen at some point.
18. With their pick in the 18th round, the Yankees drafted 6'6 RHP Kevin Jacob from Georgia Tech. He throws a fastball at 96, so he should be a good major league reliever. He also throws a pretty good curveball. But, a problem with him was that the ball supposedly is very visible out of his hand. Hopefully, the Yankees can fix that problem in the minors and he'll be a good reliever in a few years.
19. The biggest wild card in this draft might be 18 year old high school CF Kevin Jordan, drafted in the 19th round by the Yanks. He's a 5-tool prospect, with power, speed, hitting for average, arm strength and fielding ability. So, you probably wonder, why did he fall so far in the draft? Well, this year he got strep throat. We've all gotten strep- what does that have to do with anything? Well, after getting strep, he got a throat infection and missed all of this year. He's better now. The Yankees are taking the gamble that he won't get sick again. If he does, they might have a 2nd round talent in the 17th round. Andy Pettitte was a 22nd round pick in 1990 that really turned out to be something special- Jordan could be the Pettitte of this draft. Obviously, the outfield for the Yankees is very crowded, but with his great athleticism, maybe Jordan can become a utility player that plays both infield and outfield similar to Mark DeRosa and Jerry Hairson Jr. In that case, Jordan would be playing somewhere nearly every game and would get to show off his hitting ability. I hope Jordan stays healthy and signs, because he could really be something special for the Yankees.
20. With their 20th pick in the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old University of San Diego LF Michael Ferraro. There's not very much information out there about him, but he's a good average hitter with little power. With all the outfielders ahead of him, I don't think he has a future with the team.
21. In the 21st round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old junior college RHP Dustin Hobbs. He has a 90 MPH fastball with very good movement. I've seen it move in two different directions, so he must have 2 different fastballs. I think he has a 4-seamer and a cutter that moves inside to lefties and outside to righties. If he develops that cutter well, who knows? I know a great pitcher that throws nearly all cutters and you all know him too: Mariano Rivera. Maybe Hobbs will make an impact in the bullpen for the Yanks because of that cutter.
22. The Yankees drafted 21 year old junior college LHP Trevor Johnson in the 22nd round. Johnson is a starter who has that need to finish games, like Roy Halladay. He had 5 complete games in '09. I doubt that Johnson as good of a pitcher as Halladay, but it's good to be compared to Halladay at all. I can't find any information on any of Johnson's pitches, but he sounds like a good pitcher. Maybe we'll see him in the future as well.
23. In the 23rd round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old Central Florida catcher Shane Brown. Brown had an incredible season in '10, hitting .428 with a .541 OBP. He is a good line drive hitter with some power. The question with college catchers is that they don't call their games- the coaches do from the dugout. It's pretty incredible that he fell this far though. He's a good hitter. We'll have to see what happens to him, but it will be tough for any catcher to make it to the majors for the Yankees with Cervelli and Romine among others in front of him for the catchers of the future.
24. With their 24th pick of the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old SS/RHP Conor Mullee from St. Peters College. He is a decent hitter for average with good speed as a SS. But, the Yankees drafted Mullee as a pitcher. Mullee pitched for the first time this year. He had just a 10.50 ERA as a pitcher this year, but he showed a 94 MPH fastball and a 75-77 MPH curveball and impressed some scouts. As he develops as a pitcher, he should get better and better. Maybe even good enough to make it into the Yankee bullpen.
25. In the 25th round, the Yankees selected 22 year old 2B Casey Stevenson from UC Irvine. He is a decent average hittter, but with no power and not very much speed. He did post a good OBP. He must be great defensively for the Yankees to have drafted him here. Still, he probably has no future with the team.
26. The Yankees drafted 21 year old junior college RHP R.J. Hively with their 26th round pick. He was a starter and reliever in '10, so he is pretty versatile. But, a 3.06 ERA in junior college isn't good enough. He doesn't have a future with the Yankees.
27. In the 27th round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old RHP Martin Viramontes from Loyola Marymount University. He missed all of '09 with shoulder injuries and struggled in '10. But, he has a good arsenal of pitches. He has a low-90's fastball, an 84 MPH slider, an 80 MPH changeup, and a 76-78 MPH slurve. That slider could potentially be a very good put-away pitch. When healthy, Viramontes is a very good pitcher. But can he stay healthy? If he does stay healthy, he could be a steal. Viramontes could be a good reliever with the big league team.
28. With their pick in the 28th round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 17 year old high school RHP Josn Dezse. He was dominant his last year in high school, posting a 1.60 ERA, not that it means that much. We'll see how he turns out. He better be good since there are a lot of guys ahead of him.
29. The Yankees drafted 21 year old LF Stewart Ijames from Louisville in the 27th round of the draft. He has decent power and should hit for a decent BA. I still don't think he has any future with the team.
30. 20 year old RHP Zachary Nuding was drafted by the Yankees in the 30th round. He has a good fastball, a very good slider, and a decent splitter, but he struggles with control. No way he has a future with the Yanks.
I can't information anywhere on nearly all of the remaining picks. Good luck to all them, but I doubt any of them will ever be on the Yankees.
31. In the 31st round of the draft, the Yankees selected 21 year old Florida Atlantic RHP James Gipson.
32. With their pick in the 32nd round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Kramer Sneed from Division 2 Barton College. He can both start and relieve and he's hard working, but that's all I can find. Guess we'll see what happens, but I doubt he will ever make the Yankees if he even signs.
33. In the 33rd round, the Yankees drafted RHP Michael Hachadorian from San Diego Mesa College.
34. In the 34th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP William Kish. He throws an 86 MPH fastball and a 77 MPH curveball. Neither of those pitches are very good. Good luck to him.
35. The Yankees drafted 22 year old RHP William Oliver from Junior college in the 35th round.
36. In the 36th round, the Yankees drafted 23 year old catcher Nick McCoy from San Diego. He's nothing special according to his high school and college stats. Good luck to him.
37. In the 37th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Cameron Hobson from Dayton. He has terrible control but strikes out a ton of batters. Sort of like Nolan Ryan... no way. Good luck to him.
38. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF James Ramsay in the 38th round.
39. In the 39th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Jaycob Brugman.
40. In the 40th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF Michael Gerber.
41. In the 41st round, the Yankees drafted their 4th straight high school outfielder, 19 year old CF Tymothy Pearson.
42. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF Michael O'Neill in the 42nd round.
43. In the 43rd round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Kyle Hunter from Kansas State.
44. In the 44th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP David Middendorf from Northern Kentucky.
45. The Yankees drafted 21 year old Penn State OF Tyler Johnson in the 45th round.
46. In the 46th round, the Yankees drafted RHP Nathan Forer from Southern Illinois University Carbondale. All he throws is a 85-89 fastball with some movement. Good luck to him.
47. In the 47th round, the Yankees drafted 23 year old LHP Frederick Lewis from Tennessee Wesleyan College.
48. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP Alex Brown in the 48th round of the draft.
49. In the 49th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Will Arthur.
50. In the 50th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old catcher James Rice from Western Kentucky.
So that's all 50 Yankee draft picks.
1. The Yanks' first round draft pick was 17 year old switch-hitting high school SS/RHP Cito Culver. He also pitched in high school. He is going to be the next Yankee SS after Jeter, assuming he does well in the minors. Remember, even if Jeter retires in 6 years, Culver will be just 23 years old. Full post on him here: http://www.fannation.com/blogs/post/666525-the-future-of-the-yankees-cito-culver.
2. In the second round, the Yankees drafted another 17 year old high school SS, Angelo Gumbs. He's going to be an outfielder in the Yankee farm system. He is a superb defender whose hitting is coming along nicely. He has a future as a 4th outfielder for the Yankees- think Melky Cabrera. Maybe he'll get a chance because of injury to start at some point.
3. With their 3rd pick in the draft, the Yankees drafted their 3rd infielder in a row, 21 year old 3B Robert Segedin from Tulane. Segedin is a Yankee-type draft pick- he wanted a pretty big signing bonus, so he fell to the 3rd round when the Yankees drafted him, because we all know the Yanks have the money. Segedin is a talented hitter with pretty good power. He is also pretty good defensively. He also dropped because of a back injury that he suffered in '08. He's already 22 years old, so he may not be the 3rd baseman of the future. But if he stays healthy, he'll at least have a shot.
4. With their 4th round pick, the Yankees selected 18 year old high school OF Mason Williams. He is a Brett-Gardner type player- he's great defensively and is very fast, but he has very little power. But, he has better arm strength than Gardner. With Gardner, Curtis Granderson, and potentially Carl Crawford on the team, it will be tough for him to be anything more than a bench player with the Yanks.
5. In the 5th round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old RHP Thomas Kahnle from Lynn University in Divison 2. Kahnle is going to be a reliever for the Yanks. He has a lot of potential, as evidenced by his playoff performance as a freshman. He was awarded the Most Outstanding Player award for the NCAA National Tournament and the South Region Tournament. (I haven't had this confirmed, but I'm sure the NCAA National Tournament is Division 2. Note that the Division 1 tournament is the College World Series.) The Yankees can never have enough good relievers, and hopefully Kahnle will be one of them.
6. In the 6th round, the Yankees got 18 year old high school RHP Gabe Encinas. He has a great sinker and is known for attacking the zone. But, his secondary pitches haven't developed very well yet. After AJ Burnett's contract expires after the 2013 season, Encinas could be in the battle for a rotation spot if those secondary pitches develop.
7. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Taylor Jake Anderson with their 7th round pick. He has a good arm and has a nice, fluid swing. I really can't find very much about him. With the Yankee outfield stacked, maybe he'll be a bench player with the team if he succeeds.
8. With their 8th round pick, the Yankees drafted 22 year old East Carolina 1st baseman Kyle Roller. He was East Carolina's captain and is a class act off the field. His stance and swing remind me of Mark Teixeira, but of course, Teix is signed until 2016. Maybe he can be a Juan Miranda-type part time DH and bench player.
9. In the 9th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP Taylor Morton. He has a great fastball, 95 MPH consistently. I have seen anything about his secondary pitches, so that must be his problem. With his great fastball, Morton projects as a reliever.
10. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Benjamin Gamel with their 10th round pick. Gamel's older brother Matt is a 3rd baseman in the Brewers farm system. Gamel ironically reminds me a little bit of Dustin Pedroia. He is a little guy (5'10), but he swings like he has big-time power. In the outfield, he has strong but inaccurate arm. I doubt Gamel has a future with the Yans kees with 3 other outfielders drafted in front of him, and a solid outfield set in place in the majors.
11. In the 11th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old University of Portland RHP Zachary Varce. He was a reliever in '10, so he'll be a reliever in the minors as well. He throws a 93 MPH fastball, a spilter, a changeup, and a slider. He has great confidence in his pitches. He could make an impact as a reliever for the Yanks.
12. With their 12th round pick, the Yankees drafted 21 year old St. Johns RHP Daniel Burawa. He throws a 95 MPH fastball, but his only other pitch is an average slider. He also struggles with control. He was suspended earlier this year, so he maybe has an attitude problem. Burawa is going to be a reliever in the Yankee organization. He better fix his control if he wants to be a reliever for the Yanks.
13. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school catcher Christopher Austin with their 13th round pick. He has a pretty fluid swing and appears to be a decent line drive hitter. There really is very little information about him. With Francisco Cervelli and Austin Romine already ahead of him in the race for the next Yankee catcher after Posada, I don't think Austin will make any impact as a catcher at the major league level for the Yankees.
14. In the 14th round, the Yankees drafted 19 year old high school RHP Travis Dean. Although he's 6'5, he throws only 90 MPH with his fastball. But, according to his would-be future coach (if the Yankees don't sign him), he has a "loose arm" and great upside. There are a lot of right-handed pitchers that the Yankees drafted, and Dean doesn' t seem to stand out. But, like everyone, he has a chance to make an impact in the majors as a reliever if he really lives up to that great upside.
15. Chase Whitley, a 20 year old RHP from Troy. He was Troy's closer. He had a decent fastball, 89-92 MPH, but he has 2 very good pitches: a slider and a changeup. He averaged about a strikeout per inning in '10. He has a chance to be a pretty good reliever for the Yanks.
16. With their 16th pick, the Yankees selected 18 year old high school LHP Evan Rutckyj from Canada. (I don't have any idea how to pronounce his last name.) He's a very raw talent who just started pitching full-time last year. His velocity on his fastball is currently 92 MPH, but it's already moved up from 84 MPH and it's still getting faster and faster. He also throws a good changeup. He possesses the David Robertson-like ability to strike batters out at a great rate without very good velocity. I'm not sure why he slid so far. He was projected as a 5th round pick as recently as the day before the draft began. Anyway, the Yanks got a steal of a pick and I expect that we'll see Rutckyj in the Yankee bullpen someday.
17. In the 17th round, the Yankees drafted another RHP, Preston Claiborne from Tulane. He's been a reliever his whole college career. He showed good control at Tulane in '09 (29 K's, 12 walks), and pitched both as a long reliever and short reliever. With that Alrfredo Aceves-like versatility, we might see him in the Yankee bullpen at some point.
18. With their pick in the 18th round, the Yankees drafted 6'6 RHP Kevin Jacob from Georgia Tech. He throws a fastball at 96, so he should be a good major league reliever. He also throws a pretty good curveball. But, a problem with him was that the ball supposedly is very visible out of his hand. Hopefully, the Yankees can fix that problem in the minors and he'll be a good reliever in a few years.
19. The biggest wild card in this draft might be 18 year old high school CF Kevin Jordan, drafted in the 19th round by the Yanks. He's a 5-tool prospect, with power, speed, hitting for average, arm strength and fielding ability. So, you probably wonder, why did he fall so far in the draft? Well, this year he got strep throat. We've all gotten strep- what does that have to do with anything? Well, after getting strep, he got a throat infection and missed all of this year. He's better now. The Yankees are taking the gamble that he won't get sick again. If he does, they might have a 2nd round talent in the 17th round. Andy Pettitte was a 22nd round pick in 1990 that really turned out to be something special- Jordan could be the Pettitte of this draft. Obviously, the outfield for the Yankees is very crowded, but with his great athleticism, maybe Jordan can become a utility player that plays both infield and outfield similar to Mark DeRosa and Jerry Hairson Jr. In that case, Jordan would be playing somewhere nearly every game and would get to show off his hitting ability. I hope Jordan stays healthy and signs, because he could really be something special for the Yankees.
20. With their 20th pick in the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old University of San Diego LF Michael Ferraro. There's not very much information out there about him, but he's a good average hitter with little power. With all the outfielders ahead of him, I don't think he has a future with the team.
21. In the 21st round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old junior college RHP Dustin Hobbs. He has a 90 MPH fastball with very good movement. I've seen it move in two different directions, so he must have 2 different fastballs. I think he has a 4-seamer and a cutter that moves inside to lefties and outside to righties. If he develops that cutter well, who knows? I know a great pitcher that throws nearly all cutters and you all know him too: Mariano Rivera. Maybe Hobbs will make an impact in the bullpen for the Yanks because of that cutter.
22. The Yankees drafted 21 year old junior college LHP Trevor Johnson in the 22nd round. Johnson is a starter who has that need to finish games, like Roy Halladay. He had 5 complete games in '09. I doubt that Johnson as good of a pitcher as Halladay, but it's good to be compared to Halladay at all. I can't find any information on any of Johnson's pitches, but he sounds like a good pitcher. Maybe we'll see him in the future as well.
23. In the 23rd round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old Central Florida catcher Shane Brown. Brown had an incredible season in '10, hitting .428 with a .541 OBP. He is a good line drive hitter with some power. The question with college catchers is that they don't call their games- the coaches do from the dugout. It's pretty incredible that he fell this far though. He's a good hitter. We'll have to see what happens to him, but it will be tough for any catcher to make it to the majors for the Yankees with Cervelli and Romine among others in front of him for the catchers of the future.
24. With their 24th pick of the draft, the Yankees drafted 22 year old SS/RHP Conor Mullee from St. Peters College. He is a decent hitter for average with good speed as a SS. But, the Yankees drafted Mullee as a pitcher. Mullee pitched for the first time this year. He had just a 10.50 ERA as a pitcher this year, but he showed a 94 MPH fastball and a 75-77 MPH curveball and impressed some scouts. As he develops as a pitcher, he should get better and better. Maybe even good enough to make it into the Yankee bullpen.
25. In the 25th round, the Yankees selected 22 year old 2B Casey Stevenson from UC Irvine. He is a decent average hittter, but with no power and not very much speed. He did post a good OBP. He must be great defensively for the Yankees to have drafted him here. Still, he probably has no future with the team.
26. The Yankees drafted 21 year old junior college RHP R.J. Hively with their 26th round pick. He was a starter and reliever in '10, so he is pretty versatile. But, a 3.06 ERA in junior college isn't good enough. He doesn't have a future with the Yankees.
27. In the 27th round, the Yankees drafted 20 year old RHP Martin Viramontes from Loyola Marymount University. He missed all of '09 with shoulder injuries and struggled in '10. But, he has a good arsenal of pitches. He has a low-90's fastball, an 84 MPH slider, an 80 MPH changeup, and a 76-78 MPH slurve. That slider could potentially be a very good put-away pitch. When healthy, Viramontes is a very good pitcher. But can he stay healthy? If he does stay healthy, he could be a steal. Viramontes could be a good reliever with the big league team.
28. With their pick in the 28th round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 17 year old high school RHP Josn Dezse. He was dominant his last year in high school, posting a 1.60 ERA, not that it means that much. We'll see how he turns out. He better be good since there are a lot of guys ahead of him.
29. The Yankees drafted 21 year old LF Stewart Ijames from Louisville in the 27th round of the draft. He has decent power and should hit for a decent BA. I still don't think he has any future with the team.
30. 20 year old RHP Zachary Nuding was drafted by the Yankees in the 30th round. He has a good fastball, a very good slider, and a decent splitter, but he struggles with control. No way he has a future with the Yanks.
I can't information anywhere on nearly all of the remaining picks. Good luck to all them, but I doubt any of them will ever be on the Yankees.
31. In the 31st round of the draft, the Yankees selected 21 year old Florida Atlantic RHP James Gipson.
32. With their pick in the 32nd round of the draft, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Kramer Sneed from Division 2 Barton College. He can both start and relieve and he's hard working, but that's all I can find. Guess we'll see what happens, but I doubt he will ever make the Yankees if he even signs.
33. In the 33rd round, the Yankees drafted RHP Michael Hachadorian from San Diego Mesa College.
34. In the 34th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP William Kish. He throws an 86 MPH fastball and a 77 MPH curveball. Neither of those pitches are very good. Good luck to him.
35. The Yankees drafted 22 year old RHP William Oliver from Junior college in the 35th round.
36. In the 36th round, the Yankees drafted 23 year old catcher Nick McCoy from San Diego. He's nothing special according to his high school and college stats. Good luck to him.
37. In the 37th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Cameron Hobson from Dayton. He has terrible control but strikes out a ton of batters. Sort of like Nolan Ryan... no way. Good luck to him.
38. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF James Ramsay in the 38th round.
39. In the 39th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Jaycob Brugman.
40. In the 40th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF Michael Gerber.
41. In the 41st round, the Yankees drafted their 4th straight high school outfielder, 19 year old CF Tymothy Pearson.
42. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school CF Michael O'Neill in the 42nd round.
43. In the 43rd round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP Kyle Hunter from Kansas State.
44. In the 44th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old LHP David Middendorf from Northern Kentucky.
45. The Yankees drafted 21 year old Penn State OF Tyler Johnson in the 45th round.
46. In the 46th round, the Yankees drafted RHP Nathan Forer from Southern Illinois University Carbondale. All he throws is a 85-89 fastball with some movement. Good luck to him.
47. In the 47th round, the Yankees drafted 23 year old LHP Frederick Lewis from Tennessee Wesleyan College.
48. The Yankees drafted 18 year old high school RHP Alex Brown in the 48th round of the draft.
49. In the 49th round, the Yankees drafted 18 year old high school OF Will Arthur.
50. In the 50th round, the Yankees drafted 21 year old catcher James Rice from Western Kentucky.
So that's all 50 Yankee draft picks.
Friday, May 7, 2010
What will the Yankees do with 3/4 of the Core 4 hurt?
Jorge Posada is hurt with a calf injury. Mariano Rivera has missed time with a side injury. Andy Pettitte will miss at least one start. What will the Yankees do without them?
Francisco Cervelli has done well so far filling in for Posada. He is hitting .371 with 0 homers, 6 RBI, and a .436 OBP. He has posted an 1.000 Fld% at catcher so far, but he has not thrown out any attempted basestealers yet. He is a fine backup, but not nearly as good as Posada. Posada has hit .290 so far with 5 homers, 12 RBI, and a .364 OBP. He has posted just a .984 Fld% at catcher, but he does have a 21% CS%. Posada hopefully will be back for at least one game in the Boston series, which starts tonight. The Yanks obviously aren't as good with Cervelli behind the plate, but they'll be okay.
Joba Chamberlain has done pretty well as the Yankee setup man and filled in very well for Rivera as the Yankee closer in the recent Orioles series. He's is 0-1 with a 2.92 ERA, 13 K's, and 2 saves in 13 relief appearances and 12.1 IP so far in '09. Both of his saves were in the Baltimore series. During his 2 saves, he pitched 2 innings, giving up only 1 hit and 1 walk, and strking out 3. Rivera should be back for tonight's game if necessary, but we know that Joba can fill in at closer. Granted, Rivera is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA with 9 K's and 7 saves in 10 relief apearances and 10 IP, but Joba could do fine as the closer if he's needed.
The situation with Pettitte is more complicated. Javier Vazquez isn't hurt, but he's performed so badly (http://www.fannation.com/blogs/post/636845-whats-javier-vazquez-trade-value) that his start will be skipped or at least delayed in addition to Pettitte. That makes 2 total spot-starts. Sergio Mitre, who is 0-0 with a 2.79 ERA in 5 relief appearances in '09, will make one of the spot starts. But, what about the other? Could it be Alfredo Aceves? Aceves is 2-0 with a 3.27 ERA in 9 relief appearances and 11 IP. Aceves did make 1 start in '09 and 4 starts in '08. Aceves hasn't even had a 3 inning appearance this year, so maybe he couldn't start a game. Vazquez might have to start a game after the Boston serie because of the Pettitte injury. Or, the Yankees could call up one of the prospects mentioned in the link above, Ivan Nova and Zach McAllister. Considering Nova is now 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA and McAllister, after a bad start, is now 0-2 with a 5.52 ERA, Nova would be much more likely to get the call. The Yankees would probably send down backup OF Greg Golson if they bring up Nova. Pettitte is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in 6 starts, so it would be tough shoes for anyone to fill. Hopefully whoever spot-starts can give the Yankees 5 decent innings.
No team in the majors is as good when key players are injured. That's the case with the Yankees, with Posada (hopefully back very soon), Pettitte, and Curtis Granderson all injured right now (in additon to Park, but he's not a key player). The players filling in hopefully can do a decent job. The Yankees are still a very good team, and they will definitely compete. It will just be a bit harder.
(This is the post about the situation with Granderson injured: http://www.fannation.com/blogs/post/635445-with-cg-hurt-hows-the-yankee-of-situation-going-to-look)
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