Showing posts with label Blue Jays. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Blue Jays. Show all posts

Friday, November 5, 2010

Bizarre Blue Jays-Rockies trade

The Rockies traded catcher Miguel Olivo to the Blue Jays for a player to be named. It doesn't sound like anything special, right? Well, it certainly was.

The Blue Jays declined Olivo's 2011 option, making him a free agent. (What? They just traded a player to be named for nothing!) Why did they do that? Well, Miguel Olivo is a Type-B free agent, so the Blue Jays traded a player to be named to potentially get a supplemental draft pick in June. Before that happens, they have to offer Olivo salary arbitration, and he has to decline it and sign with another team. But, what if he accepts the arbitration? Well, then Olivo would be an expensive backup to rookie catcher J.P. Arencibia, and the Blue Jays would probably try to trade him again. This trade is a calculated gamble by the Jays. If Olivo declines arbitration, Toronto will get an a supplemental draft pick in exchange for some random prospect. That's potentially a great trade. But, if Olivo accepts arbitration, that's potentially a disaster for them. The one thing in Toronto's favor is that Olivo will probably want to be a starter somewhere rather than be a backup in Toronto. I think it was a good gamble by the Jays. In all likelihood, the Jays will get a supplemental pick in exchange for a low-rated prospect.

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Yanks call up Dustin Moseley

The Yankees have called up pitcher Dustin Moseley to the majors for Friday's game. Who is Dustin Moseley?

Dustin Moseley was drafted by the Cincinnati Reds with the 34th pick of the 2000 MLB draft. His 1st pro season was 2001 with the Low-A Dayton Dragons. He went 10-8 with a 4.20 ERA and 108 K's in 25 starts and 148 IP. He had a 6.6 K/9 and a 2.6 BB/9. In '02, Mosley was promoted to the High-A Stockton Ports. He went 6-3 at Stockton with a 2.74 ERA and 80 K's in 14 starts (2 complete games) and 88.2 IP before being promoted to the Double-A Chattanooga Lookouts. He didn't as well for Chattanooga, as he went 5-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 52 K's in 13 starts and 80.2 IP. Overall on the year, he went 11-9 with a 3.40 ERA and 132 K's in 27 starts and 169.1 IP. He posted a 7.0 K/9 and a 3.1 BB/9. Despite the letdown at Double-A, '02 was still an improvement for Moseley.

In '03, Moseley returned to Chattanooga. Once again, Moseley posted a 5-6 record, but this time with a 3.83 ERA and 73 K's in 18 starts and 112.2 IP. He was then promoted to the Triple-A Louisville Bats, and he showed a lot more improvement. He went 2-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 27 K's in 8 starts and 50 IP. Overall in '03, he posted just a 7-9 record, but a 3.49 ERA and 100 K's in 26 starts and 162.2 IP. He posted a 5.5 K/9 and a 2.3 BB/9. In '04, the Reds sent Moseley back to Chattanooga. It doesn't seem to make that much sense, but Moseley's K/9 went down from 5.8 to 4.9 between Double-A and Triple-A in '02, and his ERA went up from 2.2 to 2.5. That's the only explanation I can come up with. In '04 in Chattanooga, Moseley went 3-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 40 K's in 8 starts and 47.1 IP. His K/9 shot up to 7.6, and his BB/9 went down to 1.9. Then, he was promoted to Triple-A Louisville again. But this time, he didn't do nearly as well as he did there in '03. He had his worse stint in the minors to this point, going 2-4 with a 4.65 ERA and 48 K's in 12 starts and 71.2 IP. His K/9 was still a good 6.0, but his BB/9 went all the way up to 4.3. At that point, the Reds gave up on him. They traded him to the Angels for Russ Ortiz.

In '05, Moseley was assigned to the Angel's Triple-A franchise, the Salt Lake Stingers. He went 4-6 with a 5.03 ERA and 38 K's in 17 starts and 82.1 IP. His K/9 went down to 4.2 and his BB/9 was 3.3. It was obviously a disappointing season for him. In '06, Moseley returned to Salt Lake. He went 13-8 with a 4.69 ERA and 114 K's in 26 starts and 149.2 IP. His K/9 went back up to 6.9, in his BB/9 was 3.1. It wasn't a great season, but he definitely showed improvement. He actually made his major league debut on July 17th for the Angels, going 5 innings and giving up 4 runs on 10 hits while striking out 2 and walking none. It was a decent start, but it was an emergency start, and he was promptly sent right back down to the minors. He resurfaced in September, throwing 2 scoreless innings in relief on September 16th of that year. He didn't pitch again until October 1st, 2 weeks later, and he was very rusty when he started that day. He pitched 4 innings and gave up 7 runs on 10 hits that day, while striking out and walking 1.

In '07, Moseley finally spent his first full season in the majors. He went 4-3 with a 4.40 ERA and 50 K's in 8 starts, 38 relief appearances, and 92 IP. He posted a 4.9 K/9 and a 2.6 BB/9. It was a decent year. In '08, Moseley started the season in the Angels' rotation, but he went 1-3 with a 7.85 ERA in 6 starts and 1 relief appearance in April and early May, and was sent back down to the minors. He posted a 7-10 record and a 6.73 ERA in 21 minor league starts between High-A and Triple-A. He returned to the majors briefly in July, going 5.1 innings in a start and giving up 2 runs on 4 hits while striking out 4 and walking 1. Still, he was sent back down to the minors where he continued to struggle. He returned to the majors again in September, and after one bad start during which he gave up 4 runs in 1.1 IP, he went 1-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 12 K's in three 5-inning starts to end the year. Moseley started '09 in the Angels rotation, and went 1-0 with a 4.30 ERA and 8 K's in 3 starts and 14.2 IP before landing on the DL with tightness in his elbow. He then suffered a nerve injury while rehabbing in extended spring training. He missed the rest of the year.

After the year in December, the Angels didn't offer him a contract, and he became a free agent. The Yankees signed him to a minor league contract in February. Part of the contract was that Moseley could opt out of his contract if he wasn't called up by July 1st. In '10 with the Yankees' Triple-A franchise, the Scranton-Wilkes Barre Yankees, Moseley went 4-4 with a 4.21 ERA and 55 K's in 12 starts and 72.2 IP. He posted a 6.8 K/9 and just a 2.2 BB/9. The Yankees thought that was good enough and have called him up to the majors for Friday's game with the Blue Jays. A corresponding roster move will designate either Chad Gaudin or Chan Ho Park for assignment. Moseley seems to be at least a decent player. I hope he succeeds as part of the Yankee bullpen.

Monday, May 3, 2010

AL East Review: April (and up until now in May)

1. Rays: The Rays have gotten off to a great start, posting the best record in the majors so far at 18-7. They have gone 6-1-1 in series. Their only series loss was against the Yankees. They lead the AL in runs despite being 6th in the AL in homers, 5th in BA, and 4th in OBP. They do rank second in stolen bases. The Rays have the best pitching in the AL so far, leading the league with a 3.01 ERA and giving up the fewest runs. They rank 4th in the AL in Fld%. Basically, the Rays are in first place in the AL East and have the best record in the majors because they have scored the most runs in the league and given up the fewest runs in the league.

2. Yankees: The Yankees have gotten off to a good start, going 16-8 and currently sitting in the AL Wild Card position. They have won 7 of 8 series so far, only losing a series to the Angels. The Yanks have hit well as they rank second in the AL in runs to the Rays, and second in BA. They lead the league in triples and OBP. The Yankees have the 4th best ERA in the AL at 3.63, and have given up the second-least runs in the AL, again only to the Rays. In addition, the Yanks have the second-best Fld% in the AL. The Yanks are in second place in the AL East and for the best record in the AL because they are second in runs scored and runs allowed only to the best team in the AL East and AL right now, the Rays.

3. Blue Jays: The Blue Jays are 5.5 games back of the Rays in the AL East and 4.0 games back of the Yankees in the AL Wild Card race with a 13-13 record. They have gone 4-3-1 in series. Despite leading the AL in doubles and homers, the Jays are just 5th in the AL in runs because they only rank 13th in the AL in BA. The Blue Jays' pitching has not done well as they have only the 9th best ERA in the AL and have given up only the 7th-least amount of runs. They have ranked 3rd in the AL in Fld%. The Blue Jays are a decent team, but they're pretty inconsistent.

4. Red Sox: The Red Sox are 7.0 games back of the Rays in the AL East and 5.5 games back of the Yankees in the AL Wild Card race with an 11-14 record. They have gone 4-4 in series. The Red Sox are 6th in the AL in runs and BA, so they're just an average hitting team. Boston's pitching has really let them down as they are 12th in the AL with a 4.78 ERA and they have allowed the most runs in the AL. Even their fielding, the part of the game that they tried to improve on has been a disaster as they rank 13th in the AL in Fld%. Boston has really had a terrible start.

5. Orioles: The Orioles are 11.0 games back of the Rays in the AL East and 9.5 games back of the Yankees in the AL Wild Card race with a 7-18 record, the worst in the majors. They have gone 1-7 in series, with their lone series win coming against the Red Sox. Their hitting has been very bad as they rank 12th in the AL in runs and 9th in BA. They rank dead last in stolen bases. Their pitching has been just as bad as they have only the 10th best ERA in the AL at 4.67, and they have also given up the 10th most runs in the league. They rank 7th in the AL in Fld%. They're just a bad team right now.

Projections based on current records: Rays: 117-45, Yankees: 108-54, Blue Jays= 81-81, Red Sox= 71-91, Orioles= 45-117

I bet none of these projections are even close to right.

My predictions: Rays 97-65, Yankees 100-62, Blue Jays 73-89, Red Sox 86-76, Orioles 70-92

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